포메이션 임팩트 엔진

Core Logic

Data Sources - Lineup announcements (official feeds) - Historical formation matchup database - Player positional heat maps - Team pressing/defensive style metrics

Algorithm 1. Classify announced formation (handling hybrid systems) 2. Look up historical matchup matrix (e.g., 4-3-3 vs 3-5-2) 3. Apply team-specific adjustments (playing style modifiers) 4. Calculate expected impact on: xG, possession, shots, pressing 5. Generate formation impact signal with confidence bounds

Formation Classification Uses a hierarchical classifier: - Phase 1: Base shape (4-3-3, 3-5-2, 4-4-2, etc.) - Phase 2: Variant (4-3-3 wide vs 4-3-3 narrow) - Phase 3: Asymmetry detection (inverted fullback, false 9)

Known Limitations - In-match formation changes are detected with ~5 min delay - Some managers use fluid formations that resist classification - Youth/reserve players have limited positional data